On January 23, 2010, I wrote about the Himalaya glaciers. The IPCC got caught in a scandal because its prediction that these glaciers would disappear by 2035 was based on “speculation,” not evidence. I pointed out that this mistake was an outlier, and the proper evidence-based prediction was still very, very bad news.
Sadly, I was right. Continue reading “Things That Haven’t Gotten Better”
Yesterday, we talked about John Coleman and his sorry excuse for a climate change lesson. As a reader pointed out to me, one piece of evidence in particular has generated another climate news scandal recently. As a refresher:
…according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, global glacier thickness has declined every year for the past 4+ decades. The most recent academic research I’ve seen was published 2 months ago, and it concluded that Antarctic ice loss has been vaster and faster than the IPCC predicted. Another paper published around the same time found that, based on historical evidence, Antarctica is more sensitive to greenhouse gases than previously thought.
When many people hear “glaciers,” they think of the Himalayas. One of the most startling predictions of the 2007 IPCC report was that this gorgeous region in South and East Asia will lose all its glaciers by 2035. If you trace that claim back to its original source, you find quotes in New Scientist and Indian magazine Down to Earth by Syed Hasnain, who studied the Himalayan glaciers for the International Commission on Snow and Ice. Hasnain, it turns out, made the prediction based on “speculation,” not evidence.
Let’s be clear about what this means: Nothing. Continue reading “Making Mountains Out of Glaciers”